This year was definitely a year of two halves,
with the divide being marked by an abrupt change in South African
Reserve Bank exchange rate policy. While the dollar gold price continued
its upward trend, the local gold price declined 23% over the year
in Rand terms. Against the euro, the rand strengthened by 15% as high
domestic interest rates attracted short-term capital into the country.
While many commentators believe that the rand is as overvalued today
as it was undervalued some two years ago, and the volatility and uncertainty
caused by a near doubling of the exchange rate make long-term mine
planning extremely difficult. The need for some sense of balance is
evident, especially in a developing country where employment and social upliftment are priorities. The effect on DRD is illustrated by the
fact that we earned R371 million for the year – no mean
feat as this is nearly equivalent to the entire market capitalisation
of the company some two years ago.
Indeed, the first half of the year now seems like a false dawn, as
we set about the rejuvenation of DRD. Having thrown off the oppressive
mantle of our hedgebook and completed a ground-breaking black economic
empowerment (“BEE”) transaction, we went on to raise US$66
million by way of convertible loan notes. The proceeds from this were
earmarked to increase our gold production and ore reserves, and to
lower costs.
With these successes under our belt, we set our strategy for improving
cash flow from our South African mines and growth in Australasia.
Then we hit the brick wall of rand strength. Since the end of September
2002, the gold price in rand terms has fallen by more than 20% which,
for a marginal miner like DRD, represented the margin – all
of this at a time when the dollar gold price has been relatively strong.
Our Blyvooruitzicht mine (“Blyvoor”, which incorporates
the Doornfontein lease area) has become the mainstay of the company,
with a mine life in excess of 20 years. This has been achieved by
gradually rehabilitating the infrastructure and a diligent approach
to opening up old areas, thus increasing the reserves available for
mining.
At Crown, which is now part of our BEE joint venture, gold production
was on target at 141 000 ounces for the year, achieving
a profit margin of US$77 per ounce. This served to underpin our new
BEE initiative. Crown acquired the adjacent ERPM mine in October 2002,
and despite setbacks such as strikes and underground fires, the turnaround
of this operation is well underway. The potential for ERPM has been
highlighted by a doubling of the reserve base to 2.0 million
ounces of contained gold.
The dramatic change in the fortunes of our South African operations
has taken its toll on our capital investment programmes. We had planned
to invest R143 million this year. In reality, that was reduced to
R121 million. Our programme for the 2003/2004 year was to have been
nearly double this amount, but now all capital spending decisions
are on hold pending a weakening of the rand.
Similarly, any decision to pay a dividend has had to be postponed
for the time being.
We have, however, been able to sustain our reserve base despite the
currency weakness, and ore reserves remain at just under 16 million
ounces of gold contained.
The most challenging issue facing the company at the moment is the
future of the North West Operations, comprising the Harties and Buffels
mines. Despite several changes of management, the Harties side of
this division has continued to disappoint. This has been due to external
factors such as fires, power cuts and seismicity. Meanwhile surface
sources – the open pits and old rock dumps – dwindled
during the year, aggravating the shortfall to the plants. The medium
grade project, which was based on the new mid-shaft loading on 6 Shaft,
was rendered uneconomic due to poor grades and the lower rand gold
price. Consequently, the North West Operations lost R63 million
in the second half of the year.
Despite a relatively healthier cash and balance sheet performance,
we cannot tolerate loss-makers in the hope that the exchange rate
will turn around. Therefore, the North West operations were placed
under review on July 21, 2003 and given 60 days to agree an economically
viable plan with the workforce. While numbers employed had been dropping,
it was felt necessary to introduce a more radical rightsizing to restore
profitable production. This plan will concentrate production on the
higher grade areas of the mine, rationalise surface treatment plant,
and accelerate development to new reserves. In doing so, management
believes it can preserve the operation’s life of 15 years and
preserve the option of accessing substantial marginal reserves at
higher gold prices.
Our Tolukuma mine in Papua New Guinea was not affected by the Rand’s
strength of course, and it continued to achieve its turnaround. In
the last quarter, this small high grade mine posted margins of more
than 40% and contributed a greater cash flow than all of our South
African operations put together. This strikes home the importance
of diversification and the need for DRD to develop lower cost production
which, by necessity, will come from overseas.
South Africa got a new Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development
Act during the year, which also ushered in a Broad Based Socio-Economic
Empowerment Charter and a draft Royalty Bill. While the need for new
legislation is founded on sound regulatory and economic bases, the
interpolation of social objectives has caused some uncertainty among
overseas investors. Providers of capital pay scant regard for national
policies, and while many will sympathise with the need to redress
the “sins of the past”, the South African mining industry
will have to demonstrate that these changes can lead to greater competitiveness.
Certainly, several of the targets in the Charter should achieve this,
but, the separate draft Royalty Bill, which proposes a revenue royalty
will not. A revenue royalty, if imposed, would undoubtedly sterilise
reserves, undermine the objectives of the new Minerals Act and raise
barriers to entry for new empowerment players.
Pursuing Australasian growth, we acquired a 19.81% stake in Emperor
Mines Limited, which mines the Vatukoula orebody in Fiji. Emperor
has embarked on a A$76 million expansion which is targeted to increase
annual gold production to 180 000 ounces by 2004/2005. The mine, which
has been in continuous operation for 70 years, mines 46 geological
structures containing resources of 7.0 million ounces of gold.
Your board has embarked on a shareholder value recovery programme
in order to recoup some of the financial abuses committed by former
directors and officers who were mainly involved in related party transactions.
All of our claims have now been upheld by the courts and actions taken
where appropriate. The defendants in this litigation have responded
with a concerted public relations campaign – at times derogatory
and abusive – to demoralise the company. This has not shaken
your board’s resolve to continue with its valid actions and
to practice sound corporate governance principles, however uncomfortable
this may be for the other parties.
We ended the year with a much sounder balance sheet and cash position.
Shareholders’ equity improved to R456 million and cash and receivables
at year end amounted to R332 million.
Basic earnings per share moved from a loss of 316 cents to a positive
figure of 202 cents.
The turnover of DRD shares on its principal exchange, NASDAQ, has
continued to grow despite the strong Rand having lessened the correlation
to the gold price. We now have more than 50 000 US shareholders
and we turned over nearly 400% of our issued capital. This is a phenomenal
performance and has made “DROOY” one of the most successful
ADR programmes ever launched. This resulted in the stock’s inclusion
in the Philidelphia Gold Index with effect from August 18, 2003.
We have said farewell to Frik Coetzee as operations director, and
Nick Goodwin as a non-executive director. There were two high profile
departures in March, when Mrs Maryna Eloff and Mrs Benita Morton,
company secretary and legal adviser respectively, chose to side with
the Kebble family in a manner most damaging to the company.
On a more positive note, we have invited both Deon van der Mescht
and Anton Lubbe to become alternate directors to myself and Ian Murray.
I intend splitting the roles of Chairman and CEO in November 2003.
The strength of the Rand has set us a new challenge to restore our
competitiveness, which we can achieve by reducing costs and because
of the grade flexibility in our ore reserves. We will continue to
build on our success at Tolukuma with the addition of further low
cost ounces in that region. Since we have substantially complied with
the transfer of ownership into empowerment hands by our joint venture
at Crown, we are well positioned to continue to grow our South African
reserve base.
DRD is a far stronger business today, both in the quality of its management
team and in its financial position. It is tough at present and it
may get tougher, but for DRD it has always been that way. We are as
up to the new challenges, as we were to the old.